Monday, March 19, 2012

The Disney Champion and Tournament Summary



Congratulations to the Lion King for winning the Disney Bracket Tournament! Thanks to everyone who voted! I hope you enjoyed voting and following the results as much as I enjoyed working on all of it.

In retrospect, I am very pleased with the way the tournament unfolded and turned out. The reason I put this together now instead of waiting for Brave to be released this summer (which would have made a nice, round 64 films) is because this was the perfect time to organize such an event. I wanted to separate the films in some way and dividing them by year was an easy, perfect solution. I could have easily divided the 63 movies into four balanced regions (with, say, Toy Story, the Lion King, Beauty and the Beast, and The Little Mermaid as the #1 seeds), but the lack of any theme or continuity would have taken away from the fun.

Had I waited for Brave to be released, the new Pixar film would have been in the Pixar region and bumped one of the computer animated masterpieces (probably Bolt, the strongest of the four) into the 1994-present region. This move would have required me to push the oldest film in the region (The Lion King) into the region before it (1959-1992) and move the oldest film from that region (Sleeping Beauty) into the first region. The result would have been a significantly weaker 1994-present region (which would have become the 1995-present region) that did not include The Lion King and an over-saturated 1959-1992 region (which would have become the 1961-1994 region) with The Lion King, Beauty and the Beast, and the Little Mermaid. Mulan, a fine film but one unworthy of a #1 seed would have been the top ranked film in a terribly diluted region. These changes would have also disrupted the clean classification of grouping the Pixar movies with the computer animated masterpieces. For all of these reasons, I choose to organize the bracket with 63 films and give Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs a first round bye.

If I were to do it all over again, I might switch the seeds of 101 Dalmatians (a #5 seed) and the Jungle Book (a #6 seed) as well as Lady and the Tramp (a #7 seed) and Peter Pan (a #8 seed). Peter Pan might have been strong to take down Fantasia, an acclaimed but polarizing film, which may have cleared a path to the Final Four for Pinocchio. Other than that I think the seeds were extremely accurate as evidenced by the voting results.

In my opinion, the round of 32 was the most fun round on which to vote and offered the toughest choices. While I enjoyed voting in the first round, it basically served to weed out the inferior films (Make Mine Music, Treasure Planet, Cars 2, etc.). Round 2 featured six match-ups out of sixteen that ended in a tie. I had a difficult time picking between Wall-E and Up, choosing Pocahontas or Tangled, and deciding on Dumbo or Pinocchio, just to name a few.

My biggest disappointments were the Hunchback of Notre Dame and Beauty and the Beast getting upset in the first round as well as Aladdin eliminating The Little Mermaid in the Sweet 16. Aladdin only received one more vote than The Fox and the Hound in the first round, so it's inclusion in the Final Four was a bit of a surprise. Though had the Little Mermaid won, it's likely the Final Four would have been all #1 seeds, and where's the fun in that?

Thanks again to everybody who voted! I had a great time reading all your comments and analyzing the results!

Sunday, March 18, 2012

The Finals: Toy Story vs. The Lion King



We have our championship teams. How did we get here? Toy Story shut out Chicken Little to move ahead automatically, beat Ratatouille after winning the vote 10 to 4, advanced past Wall-E by winning 75% of the vote, and easily proved to be the superior Toy Story by a 14 to 4 vote against Toy Story 3 to win the Pixar region. In the Final Four, Toy Story easily advanced after giving Snow White only a 2 in 13 chance of winning. Overall, Toy Story had a solid 35% chance of winning all five of the match-ups and advancing to the finals.

The Lion King seemed almost predestined to make the championship match-up. It swept all the votes from Home on the Range and Tangled, beat the Princess and the Frog by a vote of 13 to 1, and moved past Mulan, a film that was only given a 3 votes to 15 chance. The competition in the Final Four was a bit easier than it could have been for the Lion King due to the upsets in the 1959-1992 region. Oliver & Company, the Norfolk State/Lehigh of the Disney tournament, beat Beauty and the Beast after receiving one very decisive vote. Aladdin upset The Little Mermaid, a movie that would have given the Lion King a better run for its money, despite being outvoted by a 2 to 1 ratio. Nevertheless, the Lion King faced the opponent on the schedule and won easily after a vote of 12 to 2. The Lion King's probability of defeating all five opponents was a gaudy 66%.

We've all seen both movies, probably at least 5-10 times and likely in the theaters. The Lion King was the peak of the Disney renaissance that started with the Little Mermaid and tailed off with Tarzan and Fantasia 2000. Toy Story, released one year after the Lion King, introduced us to Pixar and spawned two equally excellent sequels. We know the songs, from "Circle of Life" to "I Will Go Sailing No More," the Oscar winning "Can You Feel the Love Tonight" and the Oscar nominated "You've got a Friend in Me." One stars two-time Oscar winner Tom Hanks and "Home Improvement" star Tim Allen and the other features Jonathan Taylor Thomas, every part Hanks' acting equal and longtime TV son of Allen.

So here we are. After voting on 62 match-ups, there is only one left. So who will be the Disney Bracket champion: Toy Story or the Lion King?

Who wins this matchup?
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Saturday, March 17, 2012

The Disney Final Four



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Friday, March 16, 2012

Elite 8


This next round of votes will help determine our regional champions. Despite it's strong showing, winning two-thirds of the match-up votes, The Little Mermaid was the first 1 seed to be eliminated. Three other top seeds are favored to make the Disney Final Four, but upsets are always looming...

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Thursday, March 15, 2012

The Sweet 16

We have quickly narrowed the field down from 63 to 16. The second round featured some particularly difficult choices as evidenced by the movies in six of the sixteen match-ups splitting the vote 7 to 7. Finding Nemo and The Little Mermaid dominated their competition and moved on without the help of the random number generator by sweeping all 14 votes. They face stiffer competition in the Sweet 16 against Toy Story 3 and Aladdin.

There are still four #1 seeds, three #2 seeds, two #3 seeds, and three #4 seeds, so not many films have broken seed. The Cinderella story (or rather Oliver & Company story) of the second round was Bambi, a film that advanced despite only receiving 5 of the 13 votes, the worst vote total of any second round winner. Ironically, the victim of this bad luck was in fact Cinderella.

Three of the four most recently released films: Tangled, Winnie the Pooh, and Toy Story 3 are all in the Sweet 16 (Cars 2, the worst/only bad Pixar film to date is the only one of the four excluded). The three oldest Disney films: Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs, Fantasia, and Pinocchio also remain in the field. My theory is that Disney started strong and is currently strong, but spent 70 years making bad filler material.

Thanks so much for voting and enjoy the Sweet 16! I'll continue to update the brackets every day until we have our champion.


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Wednesday, March 14, 2012

Second Round- Down to 32


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Tuesday, March 13, 2012

Decide the Ultimate Disney Movie


I decided it would be fun to have a Disney/March Madness-esque tournament with the 63 movies in the Disney Masterpiece and Pixar filmography. The films have been divided into four regions: 1937-1955 release dates, 1959-1992 release dates, 1994-Present release dates, and Pixar/computer animated (as opposed to hand-drawn, or in the case of 'Tangled' made to look hand-drawn).

I seeded the films based on critical success and general popularity. My own personal feelings did not enter the equation with the exception of awarding 'Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs' the inevitable first round bye that comes with being one film short of an even 64.

Because the best team does not always win in the NCAA tournament, the films that get the most votes will not necessarily advance. I will use a random number generator to determine the winner based on the percentage of votes. If a film receives 80% of the votes, it will have an 80% chance of advancing. In other words, if you vote for a film, it has a chance to win.

There is no criteria for voting. Vote for your favorite. Vote for the one you've seen versus the one you haven't. Vote for the shorter name. It's up to you. I will continue to update the brackets and the polls as the 'tournament' progresses. You can vote for each once per day so please keep visiting!